March 2028: Russian troops occupy the small Estonian town of Narva and the island of Hiiumaa in the Baltic. After the victory in Ukraine, Russian forces regroup and launch a new offensive from the northeast.

So, was Ukraine only the beginning?
How will NATO react now?
Will the Alliance risk a nuclear war?

We are used to believing that in the end everything will be fine. But what if not? The scenario developed by the distinguished political scientist and defense expert Carlo Masala is based on real data and scientific findings and presents, in the most accurate and vivid way, what a Russian victory in Ukraine would mean for the future of European security, as well as the entire international order.

The future always remains unpredictable. A scenario is just one – and not the only – version of possible developments. My aim is not to play the prophet. My aim is to promote thought, dialogue, beyond this text. And one more thing: scenarios are usually developed precisely to avoid what they describe.
From the book’s foreword

WHAT THE PRESS SAID
If Russia Wins does not try to entertain us. It tries to warn us.
THE WASHINGTON POST

Chilling!
FINANCIAL TIMES

Think, Masala urges, that Ukraine is only the beginning of a long-term effort by Putin and his generals to restore something of the old Soviet Union...
KIRKUS REVIEWS

Carlo Masala’s warning is timely, given the increasing uncertainty about America’s future involvement in Europe.
LE MONDE - Best Books of the Week